Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for Mito Hollyhock and 1.58 for Urawa, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Mito Hollyhock the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Mito Hollyhock to Win

54.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.32 – 1.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Mito Hollyhock win54%

Draw20%

Urawa win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

2–18.6%
1–17.4%
2–26.8%
3–16.7%
1–25.9%

Why the model likes this

Urawa away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mito Hollyhock to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 20% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.32 goals for Mito Hollyhock and 1.58 for Urawa, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 72%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Mito Hollyhock

Urawa

2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-07T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Gamba Osaka · 3-4 (L)
2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Omiya Ardija · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-21T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Fujieda MYFC · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Ryukyu · 4-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.