Stade Philippe Pottier · Analysis updated 03:50 UTC
Monthey vs Prishtina Bern Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Monthey and 1.48 for Prishtina Bern, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Monthey the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.
Model pick
Monthey or Draw
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.5%
Why the model likes this
Prishtina Bern away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Monthey to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Monthey and 1.48 for Prishtina Bern, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Monthey
Prishtina Bern
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Portalban / Gletterens · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sion II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-23T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Biel-Bienne · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-13T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sion II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Naters | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Echallens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Prishtina Bern | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Meyrin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Portalban / Gletterens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lancy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Monthey | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Servette II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stade Payerne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Coffrane | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Lausanne Sport II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Chênois | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Azzurri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.