Porin Stadion · Analysis updated 00:46 UTC
Musa vs P-Iirot Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.07 expected goals for Musa and 2.52 for P-Iirot, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives P-Iirot the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws roughly 31% of the time.
Model pick
P-Iirot to Win
68.9% probability
Expected goals
1.07 – 2.52
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
31%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–37.9%
- 1–17.5%
- 0–37.4%
Why the model likes this
P-Iirot away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates P-Iirot to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 14% / 17% / 69% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.07 goals for Musa and 2.52 for P-Iirot, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Musa
P-Iirot
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilves II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.