NK Slaven Belupo vs Debreceni VSC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.82 for Debreceni VSC, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives NK Slaven Belupo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

NK Slaven Belupo to Win

51.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.42 – 1.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

NK Slaven Belupo win51%

Draw19%

Debreceni VSC win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals80%

Over 3.5 goals61%

Both teams to score76%

Correct score

2–17.7%
2–27.0%
1–16.3%
3–16.2%
1–25.8%

Why the model likes this

NK Slaven Belupo home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates NK Slaven Belupo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 19% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.82 for Debreceni VSC, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 80% and both teams to score at 76%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

NK Slaven Belupo

2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Istra 1961 · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs NK Varazdin · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Zagreb · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sesvete · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Shakhtar Donetsk · 2-2 (D)

Debreceni VSC

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.