NK Slaven Belupo vs Sesvete Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.73 for Sesvete, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives NK Slaven Belupo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

NK Slaven Belupo to Win

46.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.10 – 1.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

NK Slaven Belupo win47%

Draw21%

Sesvete win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

2–18.3%
1–17.9%
2–27.2%
1–26.8%
3–15.8%

Why the model likes this

NK Slaven Belupo home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates NK Slaven Belupo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 21% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for NK Slaven Belupo and 1.73 for Sesvete, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 72%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

NK Slaven Belupo

2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Istra 1961 · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs NK Varazdin · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Zagreb · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sesvete · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Shakhtar Donetsk · 2-2 (D)

Sesvete

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.