Doosan Arena · Referee K. Roucek · Analysis updated 01:47 UTC
Plzen vs Slovan Liberec Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Plzen and 1.82 for Slovan Liberec, a combined total of 3.57. That distribution gives Slovan Liberec the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Slovan Liberec or Draw
62.4% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.82
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.0%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.1%
Why the model likes this
Plzen home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Liberec to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 38% / 22% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Plzen and 1.82 for Slovan Liberec, a combined 3.57 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 69%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Plzen
- 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlin · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-14T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Polessya · 2-0 (W)
Slovan Liberec
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Teplice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Slovan Liberec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Baník Ostrava | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Artis | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 | Zlin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.