Kunstrasenfeld Bodenweid 2 · Analysis updated 03:50 UTC
Prishtina Bern vs Stade Payerne Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.11 expected goals for Prishtina Bern and 1.47 for Stade Payerne, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Prishtina Bern the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.
Model pick
Prishtina Bern to Win
52.3% probability
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.47
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–26.7%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–26.4%
Why the model likes this
Prishtina Bern home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prishtina Bern to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.11 goals for Prishtina Bern and 1.47 for Stade Payerne, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Prishtina Bern
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Portalban / Gletterens · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sion II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-23T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Biel-Bienne · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-13T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 4-2 (W)
Stade Payerne
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sion II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Naters | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Echallens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Prishtina Bern | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Meyrin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Portalban / Gletterens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lancy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Monthey | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Servette II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stade Payerne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Coffrane | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Lausanne Sport II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Chênois | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Azzurri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.