Ibrox Stadium · Referee D. Robertson · Analysis updated 22:45 UTC
Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Rangers and 1.35 for Hibernian, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Rangers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Rangers or Draw
65.5% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–28.0%
Why the model likes this
Hibernian away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rangers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 25% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Rangers and 1.35 for Hibernian, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Rangers
Hibernian
- 2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rangers · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Shkendija · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Motherwell · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.