Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 2416:00
Real PilarDDWWL

21

Friday, 10 July 2026

Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza · Analysis updated 00:50 UTC

Real Pilar vs Deportivo Camioneros Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.80 expected goals for Real Pilar and 1.09 for Deportivo Camioneros, a combined total of 1.89. That distribution gives Deportivo Camioneros the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 29% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Deportivo Camioneros or Draw

73.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.80 – 1.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Real Pilar win27%
Draw32%
Deportivo Camioneros win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals56%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams to score37%

Correct score

  • 0–116.4%
  • 0–015.1%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–012.1%
  • 0–28.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Real Pilar home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Deportivo Camioneros to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 27% / 32% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.80 goals for Real Pilar and 1.09 for Deportivo Camioneros, a combined 1.89 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 29% and both teams to score at 37%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Recent form

Real Pilar

  • 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flandria · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Argentino Quilmes · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Defensores Unidos · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Comunicaciones · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dock Sud · 0-1 (L)

Deportivo Camioneros

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Primera B Metropolitana table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Excursionistas3016862256
    2Talleres Remedios3016861856
    3Deportivo Camioneros30151051755
    4Villa Dalmine30151051755
    5Arsenal Sarandi30141151753
    6Sportivo Italiano30141061452
    7Real Pilar301299245
    8Deportivo Laferrere3011910-342
    9Deportivo Armenio2911810-141
    10Comunicaciones30101010240
    11Argentino de Merlo3010911039
    12Deportivo Merlo3091110-1238
    13San Martín Burzaco308139-237
    14Dock Sud3081210136
    15Argentino Quilmes297139-334
    16Liniers2971111-832
    17Brown DE Adrogue3071013-1231
    18Villa San Carlos2961112-729
    19Flandria307815-1329
    20UAI Urquiza293188-1027
    21Defensores Unidos2951113-1126
    22Ituzaingó3011019-2813

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.