Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Rennes and 1.00 for Auxerre, a combined total of 2.76. That distribution gives Rennes the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Rennes to Win

55.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rennes win55%

Draw24%

Auxerre win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–111.2%
1–011.1%
2–19.8%
2–09.8%
0–16.4%

Why the model likes this

Rennes home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rennes to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 24% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Rennes and 1.00 for Auxerre, a combined 2.76 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Rennes

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sunderland · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-08T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford U21 · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Galatasaray · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge KV · 2-1 (W)

Auxerre

2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Estac Troyes · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sochaux · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Orleans · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs St Maur Lusitanos · 5-2 (W)
2026-05-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Lille · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	-44	17

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.