Rosengård vs Jonkopings Sodra Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Rosengård and 1.19 for Jonkopings Sodra, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives Rosengård the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Rosengård or Draw

69.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rosengård win44%

Draw26%

Jonkopings Sodra win31%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.2%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.6%

Why the model likes this

Rosengård home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rosengård to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Rosengård and 1.19 for Jonkopings Sodra, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Rosengård

2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eskilsminne · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jonkopings Sodra · 4-2 (W)
2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 0-2 (L)
2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Atvidabergs FF · 3-3 (D)
2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Trelleborg · 2-3 (L)

Jonkopings Sodra

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ettan - Södra table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	16	10	6	0	22	36
2	Hässleholms IF	17	9	3	5	12	30
3	AFC Malmo	17	8	5	4	11	29
4	Atvidabergs FF	16	8	5	3	11	29
5	Lund	17	7	7	3	7	28
6	Rosengård	16	7	5	4	6	26
7	Tvååker	17	7	4	6	-2	25
8	Olympic	17	7	2	8	-2	23
9	Jonkopings Sodra	17	6	4	7	5	22
10	Eskilsminne	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Trollhättan	17	4	7	6	-7	19
12	Angelholms FF	17	3	8	6	-2	17
13	Laholm	17	5	2	10	-8	17
14	Kristianstad	17	4	5	8	-8	17
15	Skövde AIK	16	3	8	5	-11	17
16	Utsikten	16	1	2	13	-31	5

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.