Sweden · Ettan - Södra · Södra - 911:00
RosengårdDWDLW

21

Saturday, 23 May 2026

OlympicDLWWW

· Analysis updated 02:55 UTC

Rosengård vs Olympic Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Rosengård and 1.31 for Olympic, a combined total of 3.34. That distribution gives Rosengård the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Rosengård to Win

54.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.31

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rosengård win54%
Draw21%
Olympic win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 3–16.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Rosengård home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rosengård to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 21% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.04 goals for Rosengård and 1.31 for Olympic, a combined 3.34 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 63%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Rosengård

  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eskilsminne · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jonkopings Sodra · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Atvidabergs FF · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Trelleborg · 2-3 (L)

Olympic

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ettan - Södra table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Trelleborg1610602236
    2Hässleholms IF179351230
    3AFC Malmo178541129
    4Atvidabergs FF168531129
    5Lund17773728
    6Rosengård16754626
    7Tvååker17746-225
    8Olympic17728-223
    9Jonkopings Sodra17647522
    10Eskilsminne16637-321
    11Trollhättan17476-719
    12Angelholms FF17386-217
    13Laholm175210-817
    14Kristianstad17458-817
    15Skövde AIK16385-1117
    16Utsikten161213-315

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.