Rustavi vs Meshakhte Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Rustavi and 0.98 for Meshakhte, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Rustavi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.

Model pick

Rustavi to Win

60.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.95 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rustavi win60%

Draw22%

Meshakhte win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals56%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–010.5%
1–110.2%
2–010.2%
2–19.9%
3–06.6%

Why the model likes this

Rustavi home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rustavi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 22% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Rustavi and 0.98 for Meshakhte, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Rustavi

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Tbilisi · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Kutaisi · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-01T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Spaeri · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Varketili · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-22T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dila · 0-3 (L)

Meshakhte

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.