· Analysis updated 02:21 UTC
Slivnishki geroy vs Levski Sofia II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Slivnishki geroy and 1.94 for Levski Sofia II, a combined total of 3.92. That distribution gives Slivnishki geroy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Slivnishki geroy or Draw
61.1% probability
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.94
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.6%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.0%
Why the model likes this
Slivnishki geroy home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Levski Sofia II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slivnishki geroy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 21% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.98 goals for Slivnishki geroy and 1.94 for Levski Sofia II, a combined 3.92 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Slivnishki geroy
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Sofia II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Botev Ihtiman · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kyustendil · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Sofia II · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kyustendil · 0-0 (D)
Levski Sofia II
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Septemvri Sofia II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Belasitsa · 5-4 (W)
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Sofia II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-29T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Septemvri Sofia II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kostinbrod · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third League - Southwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Septemvri Simitli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Septemvri Sofia II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bansko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Strumska Slava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belasitsa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Levski Sofia II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kostinbrod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Slavia Sofia II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Kyustendil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Oborishte | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | CSKA Sofia III | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Natsional Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Slivnishki geroy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Balkan Botevgrad | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.