Slovakia · 3. liga - West · West - 414:30

14:30 UTC

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 03:27 UTC

Slovan Duslo Šaľa vs MŠK Senec Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Slovan Duslo Šaľa and 1.18 for MŠK Senec, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Slovan Duslo Šaľa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Slovan Duslo Šaľa or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Slovan Duslo Šaľa win44%
Draw26%
MŠK Senec win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Slovan Duslo Šaľa home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • MŠK Senec away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slovan Duslo Šaľa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Slovan Duslo Šaľa and 1.18 for MŠK Senec, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Slovan Duslo Šaľa

  • 2026-08-09T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Trenčín II · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Piešťany · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-04T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlaté Moravce · 0-8 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka II · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs DAC II · 0-1 (L)

MŠK Senec

  • 2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Častkovce · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Šamorín · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Malacky · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rača · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Prievidza · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.