· Analysis updated 23:45 UTC
Southampton U18 vs Brentford U18 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.24 expected goals for Southampton U18 and 2.02 for Brentford U18, a combined total of 5.26. That distribution gives Southampton U18 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.
Model pick
Southampton U18 to Win
61.9% probability
Expected goals
3.24 – 2.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–26.0%
- 3–16.0%
- 2–25.6%
- 2–15.5%
- 4–24.9%
Why the model likes this
Southampton U18 home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Southampton U18 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 16% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.24 goals for Southampton U18 and 2.02 for Brentford U18, a combined 5.26 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 83%, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Recent form
Southampton U18
- 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford U18 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Birmingham City U18 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-06T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Fulham U18 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-02T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ipswich Town U18 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-28T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Aston Villa U18 · 4-3 (W)
Brentford U18
- 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Southampton U18 · 2-4 (L)
- 2024-12-09T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Norwich City U18 · 3-4 (L)
- 2023-12-05T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Tottenham Hotspur U18 · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
U18 Premier League - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Fulham U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Southampton U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Aston Villa U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Arsenal U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brentford U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Birmingham City U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | West Ham United U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Ipswich Town U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Reading U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.