Sportpark Nieuw Terbregge · Analysis updated 02:41 UTC
Sparta Rotterdam II vs Barendrecht Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.31 expected goals for Sparta Rotterdam II and 1.62 for Barendrecht, a combined total of 4.92. That distribution gives Sparta Rotterdam II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws roughly 30% of the time.
Model pick
Sparta Rotterdam II to Win
70.1% probability
Expected goals
3.31 – 1.62
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.1%
- 2–16.4%
- 4–15.9%
- 3–25.7%
- 2–25.2%
Why the model likes this
Sparta Rotterdam II home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Barendrecht away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sparta Rotterdam II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 14% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.31 goals for Sparta Rotterdam II and 1.62 for Barendrecht, a combined 4.92 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam II
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Maassluis · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jong AZ · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spakenburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Katwijk · 1-1 (D)
Barendrecht
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior Maassluis · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · A vs RKAV Volendam · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-05-09T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Hoek · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Rotterdam II · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tweede Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | AFC Amsterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.