Sportpark Nieuw Terbregge · Analysis updated 00:28 UTC
Sparta Rotterdam II vs Katwijk Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.82 expected goals for Sparta Rotterdam II and 1.48 for Katwijk, a combined total of 4.30. That distribution gives Sparta Rotterdam II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.
Model pick
Sparta Rotterdam II to Win
65.4% probability
Expected goals
2.82 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.0%
- 3–17.5%
- 2–25.9%
- 1–15.7%
- 3–25.5%
Why the model likes this
Sparta Rotterdam II home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sparta Rotterdam II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 17% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.82 goals for Sparta Rotterdam II and 1.48 for Katwijk, a combined 4.30 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 80% and both teams to score at 72%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam II
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Maassluis · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jong AZ · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spakenburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Katwijk · 1-1 (D)
Katwijk
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tweede Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | AFC Amsterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.