Spartak Plovdiv vs Gigant Saedinenie Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Spartak Plovdiv and 1.48 for Gigant Saedinenie, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Spartak Plovdiv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Spartak Plovdiv to Win

51.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.05 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Spartak Plovdiv win51%

Draw21%

Gigant Saedinenie win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

2–19.1%
1–18.9%
2–26.7%
1–26.6%
3–16.2%

Why the model likes this

Spartak Plovdiv home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gigant Saedinenie away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

Spartak Plovdiv

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sozopol · 4-3 (W)
2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Yambol 1915 · 2-4 (L)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 3-1 (W)
2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nesebar · 1-6 (L)
2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rozova dolina · 4-0 (W)

Gigant Saedinenie

2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sayana Haskovo · 2-4 (L)
2026-05-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neftochimic Burgas · 3-0 (W)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dimitrovgrad · 4-0 (W)
2026-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Asenovets · 2-0 (W)
2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zagorets · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 3-2 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
2025-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 1-0 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
2025-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 0-1 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
2024-11-23T12:30:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 2-1 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
2024-03-16T13:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 1-1 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
2023-09-03T14:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 3-0 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
2023-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 4-1 Gigant Saedinenie (Cup)
2023-03-12T13:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 1-0 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
2022-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 1-1 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)
2021-02-20T12:00:00.000Z · Spartak Plovdiv 0-6 Gigant Saedinenie (Third League - Southeast)

Third League - Southeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	94	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	50	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	14	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	31	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	11	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	6	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	12	54
9	Sayana Haskovo	36	15	7	14	4	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	-8	49
11	Rozova dolina	36	14	6	16	-7	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	-3	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	-19	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	-35	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	-23	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	-40	35
17	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	-9	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	-48	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	-62	23

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.