Stockholm Internazionale vs Karlberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 1.09 for Karlberg, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Stockholm Internazionale to Win

59.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Stockholm Internazionale win59%

Draw21%

Karlberg win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

2–19.9%
1–19.8%
2–09.1%
1–09.0%
3–16.7%

Why the model likes this

Stockholm Internazionale home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 21% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.03 goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 1.09 for Karlberg, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 58%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Stockholm Internazionale

2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasalund · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Järfälla · 4-0 (W)
2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FBK Karlstad · 3-1 (W)

Karlberg

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ettan - Norra table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hammarby Talang	17	11	3	3	30	36
2	IF Karlstad	17	11	3	3	15	36
3	Stockholm Internazionale	16	9	3	4	16	30
4	Arlanda	16	8	6	2	9	30
5	AFC Eskilstuna	17	8	4	5	3	28
6	Enköping	16	9	1	6	1	28
7	FBK Karlstad	16	7	4	5	1	25
8	Karlberg	17	7	3	7	3	24
9	Assyriska FF	17	6	5	6	0	23
10	Gefle IF	17	6	2	9	-13	20
11	Vasalund	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Sollentuna	17	3	8	6	-9	17
13	Umeå FC	17	4	4	9	-9	16
14	Järfälla	17	4	3	10	-14	15
15	Stocksund	17	2	5	10	-7	11
16	Piteå	16	2	4	10	-18	10

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.