Stonava vs Havířov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Stonava and 2.06 for Havířov, a combined total of 3.67. That distribution gives Havířov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Havířov to Win

48.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.61 – 2.06

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Stonava win30%

Draw21%

Havířov win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–28.7%
1–18.4%
2–27.0%
2–16.8%
1–36.0%

Why the model likes this

Stonava home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Havířov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 30% / 21% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.61 goals for Stonava and 2.06 for Havířov, a combined 3.67 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Stonava

2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Kravare · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nový Jičín · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Havířov · 4-2 (W)
2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Petřvald na Moravě · 2-0 (W)

Havířov

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie F table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Havířov	29	19	2	8	38	59
2	Vratimov	29	17	3	9	15	54
3	Bospor Bohumín	29	15	8	6	28	53
4	Bílovec	29	15	8	6	14	53
5	Stonava	29	14	6	9	10	48
6	Valašské Meziříčí	29	11	8	10	-4	41
7	Zabreh	30	9	12	9	3	39
8	Šumperk	29	9	12	8	-2	39
9	Opava II	30	11	5	14	-3	38
10	Frýdlant	30	9	11	10	-9	38
11	Jiskra Rýmařov	30	11	4	15	-13	37
12	Petřvald na Moravě	29	9	9	11	3	36
13	Nový Jičín	29	8	12	9	-5	36
14	Břidličná	30	7	10	13	-12	31
15	Pustá Polom	29	5	9	15	-23	24
16	Cesky Tesin	29	2	7	20	-41	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.