Strasbourg vs Le Havre Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Strasbourg and 0.90 for Le Havre, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Strasbourg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

Strasbourg to Win

56.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Strasbourg win57%

Draw24%

Le Havre win20%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score49%

Correct score

1–012.4%
1–111.2%
2–010.8%
2–19.7%
0–07.2%

Why the model likes this

Strasbourg home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Strasbourg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 24% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Strasbourg and 0.90 for Le Havre, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Strasbourg

2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Freiburg · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Elversberg · 2-5 (L)
2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Brighton · 3-4 (L)
2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Blackburn · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-20T19:15:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP · 0-7 (L)

Le Havre

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	-44	17

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.