Paraguay · Division Intermedia · Regular Season - 1213:00
TacuaryWLDDD

42

Saturday, 27 June 2026

Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni · Analysis updated 02:47 UTC

Tacuary vs Atlético Tembetary Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Tacuary and 1.43 for Atlético Tembetary, a combined total of 2.91. That distribution gives Tacuary the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Tacuary or Draw

63.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tacuary win39%
Draw25%
Atlético Tembetary win37%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 0–17.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Tacuary home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tacuary to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Tacuary and 1.43 for Atlético Tembetary, a combined 2.91 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Tacuary

  • 2026-08-10T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Guairena FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Resistencia · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SOL DE America · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Capiata · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-13T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Independiente F.b.c. · 2-2 (D)

Atlético Tembetary

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division Intermedia table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    112 de Junio VH1912431240
    2General Caballero1811341436
    3Benjamín Aceval1910541135
    4Deportivo Santani1810351133
    5SOL DE America196112829
    6Independiente F.b.c.19685226
    7Resistencia18675-125
    8Sportivo Carapeguá18747-725
    9Atlético Tembetary18657023
    10Deportivo Capiata18585-123
    11Guairena FC19658-423
    12Fernando De La Mora19658-723
    13Paraguari AC19559-520
    14Tacuary18396-518
    15Encarnación193313-1212
    163 de Noviembre180711-167

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.