Taunton Town vs Evesham United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.27 expected goals for Taunton Town and 1.72 for Evesham United, a combined total of 3.99. That distribution gives Taunton Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Taunton Town to Win

50.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Taunton Town win51%

Draw20%

Evesham United win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals56%

Both teams to score74%

Correct score

2–18.2%
1–17.2%
2–27.0%
3–16.2%
1–26.2%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Taunton Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 20% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.27 goals for Taunton Town and 1.72 for Evesham United, a combined 3.99 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 74%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
Taunton Town to Win is the headline pick at 51% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Taunton Town

Evesham United

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chichester City · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Frome Town · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Basingstoke Town · 4-2 (W)
2026-07-31T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Bishop's Cleeve · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cheltenham · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.