Serbia · Prva Liga · Regular Season - 816:00
TeleoptikWLL

16:00 UTC

Saturday, 12 September 2026

NaftagasLLD

· Analysis updated 22:45 UTC

Teleoptik vs Naftagas Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Teleoptik and 1.47 for Naftagas, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Teleoptik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Teleoptik or Draw

65.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.47

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Teleoptik win42%
Draw24%
Naftagas win35%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 0–16.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Naftagas away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Teleoptik to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.64 goals for Teleoptik and 1.47 for Naftagas, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Teleoptik

    Naftagas

    • 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dubočica · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs OFK Vršac · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Loznica · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-14T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Macva · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-06-06T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sloboda DT · 0-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Prva Liga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Semendrija 1924330059
    2Napredak330039
    3Dubočica321027
    4FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV320136
    5Borac Cacak320116
    6OFK Vršac320116
    7Javor311134
    8TSC Backa Topola211014
    9Jedinstvo Ub210113
    10Grafičar3102-13
    11Metalac GM3102-23
    12Teleoptik3102-43
    13Loznica3021-12
    14Naftagas3012-21
    15FK Vozdovac3003-30
    16OFK Bor 19193003-70

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.