Tord vs Ahlafors Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Tord and 2.00 for Ahlafors, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Ahlafors the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

Ahlafors to Win

57.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.14 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tord win21%

Draw22%

Ahlafors win57%

Double chance 1X

43%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–19.9%
1–29.9%
0–18.7%
0–28.7%
1–36.6%

Why the model likes this

Tord home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ahlafors to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 21% / 22% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.14 goals for Tord and 2.00 for Ahlafors, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Tord

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motala · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Herrestads · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kumla · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ahlafors · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Kumla · 0-1 (L)

Ahlafors

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Norra Götaland table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Husqvarna	17	14	3	0	28	45
2	Skara	17	11	4	2	15	37
3	IFK Skövde	17	9	4	4	11	31
4	Ahlafors	17	8	6	3	16	30
5	Grebbestad	17	9	2	6	6	29
6	Stenungsund	17	7	4	6	9	25
7	Herrestads	17	6	6	5	-1	24
8	Motala	17	5	5	7	0	20
9	Kumla	17	5	5	7	-7	20
10	Vänersborgs FK	16	4	4	8	-11	16
11	Tord	17	1	9	7	-10	12
12	Lidköping	16	3	3	10	-18	12
13	IF Karlstad II	16	2	4	10	-13	10
14	Vänersborgs IF	16	2	3	11	-25	9

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.