Turkey · Türkiye Kupası · Final17:45

21

Friday, 22 May 2026

Corendon Airlines Park · Referee H. U. Meler · Analysis updated 02:52 UTC

Trabzonspor vs Konyaspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Trabzonspor and 1.27 for Konyaspor, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives Trabzonspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Trabzonspor or Draw

65.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Trabzonspor win40%
Draw26%
Konyaspor win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–27.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Trabzonspor home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Konyaspor away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Trabzonspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 26% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.40 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.27 for Konyaspor, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Trabzonspor

  • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kasımpaşa · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Göztepe · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Udinese · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Sadd · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 0-3 (L)

Konyaspor

  • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rizespor · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Hull City · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Zalaegerszegi TE · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Zorya Luhansk · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.