· Analysis updated 23:50 UTC
Trostianets vs Metalurh Zaporizhya Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Trostianets and 0.97 for Metalurh Zaporizhya, a combined total of 2.26. That distribution gives Trostianets the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Trostianets or Draw
72.3% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 0.97
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.5%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–08.8%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trostianets to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 28% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Trostianets and 0.97 for Metalurh Zaporizhya, a combined 2.26 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
Trostianets or Draw is the headline pick at 72% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Trostianets
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Druha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nyva Ternopil II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Ruh Lviv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
| 8 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Vilkhivtsi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 1 | Oleksandria II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | SC Poltava 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Penuel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Karbon Cherkasy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Trostianets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Rebel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lozova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Atlet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.