Norway · 2. Division - Group 2 · Regular Season - 2016:00

16:00 UTC

Sunday, 20 September 2026

· Analysis updated 02:55 UTC

Trygg/Lade vs Levanger Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Trygg/Lade and 1.18 for Levanger, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Trygg/Lade the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Trygg/Lade or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Trygg/Lade win44%
Draw26%
Levanger win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Trygg/Lade home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Levanger away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Trygg/Lade to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Trygg/Lade and 1.18 for Levanger, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Trygg/Lade

  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Grorud · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Follo · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eidsvold · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-28T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Skeid · 1-7 (L)
  • 2026-06-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Lørenskog · 1-4 (L)

Levanger

  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stjørdals-Blink · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kjelsås · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ull/Kisa · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Follo · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Skeid · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-16T13:00:00.000Z · Trygg/Lade 0-3 Levanger (2. Division - Group 2)
  • 2026-03-21T13:00:00.000Z · Trygg/Lade 2-2 Levanger (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2025-08-27T16:00:00.000Z · Trygg/Lade 1-3 Levanger (NM Cupen)
  • 2022-05-18T16:00:00.000Z · Trygg/Lade 1-2 Levanger (NM Cupen)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.