· Analysis updated 03:27 UTC
Tvååker vs Angelholms FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Tvååker and 1.26 for Angelholms FF, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Tvååker the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Tvååker or Draw
68.6% probability
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.5%
Why the model likes this
Angelholms FF away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tvååker to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 25% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Tvååker and 1.26 for Angelholms FF, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Tvååker
Angelholms FF
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Trollhättan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kristianstad · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Trollhättan · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Astrio · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ettan - Södra table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 36 |
| 2 | Hässleholms IF | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | AFC Malmo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Atvidabergs FF | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | Lund | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Rosengård | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26 |
| 7 | Tvååker | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Olympic | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Jonkopings Sodra | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 10 | Eskilsminne | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Trollhättan | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Angelholms FF | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | Laholm | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Kristianstad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 17 |
| 15 | Skövde AIK | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -31 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.