Poland · II Liga - East · Regular Season - 317:30
Tychy 71DDWW

11

Sunday, 9 August 2026

Tychy City Stadium · Analysis updated 04:36 UTC

Tychy 71 vs Olimpia Grudziądz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Tychy 71 and 1.15 for Olimpia Grudziądz, a combined total of 3.19. That distribution gives Tychy 71 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Tychy 71 to Win

57.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tychy 71 win58%
Draw21%
Olimpia Grudziądz win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 3–16.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Olimpia Grudziądz away threat

    Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tychy 71 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.04 goals for Tychy 71 and 1.15 for Olimpia Grudziądz, a combined 3.19 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 59%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Tychy 71

    Olimpia Grudziądz

    • 2026-08-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tychy 71 · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-3 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Avia Świdnik · 1-4 (L)
    • 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Środa · 3-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.