Poland · II Liga - East · Regular Season - 915:00
Tychy 71DDWW

15:00 UTC

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Tychy City Stadium · Analysis updated 23:47 UTC

Tychy 71 vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Tychy 71 and 1.02 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Tychy 71 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Tychy 71 or Draw

71.3% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tychy 71 win44%
Draw28%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tychy 71 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 28% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Tychy 71 and 1.02 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

  • Model confidence

    Tychy 71 or Draw is the headline pick at 71% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Tychy 71

    Sandecja Nowy Sącz

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.