· Analysis updated 01:49 UTC
Valerenga vs Gais Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Valerenga and 1.40 for Gais, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Valerenga the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Valerenga or Draw
68.3% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.7%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–06.5%
Why the model likes this
Valerenga home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Valerenga to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 24% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Valerenga and 1.40 for Gais, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Valerenga
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bodo/Glimt · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ham-Kam · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-26T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Brann · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-07-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Aalesund · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-07-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Tromso · 0-4 (L)
Gais
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.