Vasco da Gama U20 vs Cruzeiro U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Vasco da Gama U20 and 1.08 for Cruzeiro U20, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Vasco da Gama U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.

Model pick

Vasco da Gama U20 to Win

52.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Vasco da Gama U20 win52%

Draw24%

Cruzeiro U20 win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–111.4%
1–010.6%
2–19.7%
2–09.0%
0–16.7%

Why the model likes this

Cruzeiro U20 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vasco da Gama U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Vasco da Gama U20 and 1.08 for Cruzeiro U20, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Vasco da Gama U20

Cruzeiro U20

2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nacional de Muriae U20 · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Itabirito U20 · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs América Mineiro U20 · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Paranoa U20 · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Mineiro U20 · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.