Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · Division D - 2514:30

11

Sunday, 10 May 2026

Kuřim

· Analysis updated 01:49 UTC

Velká Bíteš vs Kuřim Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Velká Bíteš and 1.42 for Kuřim, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Velká Bíteš the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Velká Bíteš or Draw

65.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Velká Bíteš win41%
Draw24%
Kuřim win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 0–17.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Velká Bíteš home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kuřim away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Velká Bíteš to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.57 goals for Velká Bíteš and 1.42 for Kuřim, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Velká Bíteš

  • 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)

Kuřim

  • 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Znojmo · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Prostějov · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Chotebor · 8-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Ždírec nad Doubravou · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-18T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Ráječko · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.