Vindbjart vs Madla Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for Vindbjart and 1.59 for Madla, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Vindbjart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Vindbjart to Win

51.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.17 – 1.59

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Vindbjart win51%

Draw21%

Madla win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

2–18.7%
1–18.0%
2–26.9%
1–26.4%
3–16.3%

Why the model likes this

Vindbjart home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vindbjart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.17 goals for Vindbjart and 1.59 for Madla, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Vindbjart

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åkra · 6-0 (W)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 3-4 (L)
2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd II · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hinna · 7-0 (W)
2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 2-3 (L)

Madla

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 4 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Madla	15	9	4	2	16	31
2	Vindbjart	16	9	2	5	20	29
3	Flekkerøy	16	9	2	5	8	29
4	Mandalskameratene	16	8	4	4	10	28
5	Viking II	15	7	3	5	18	24
6	Varhaug	15	6	5	4	5	23
7	Brodd	16	7	2	7	2	23
8	Stabæk II	15	6	2	7	-3	20
9	Staal Jørpeland	15	5	4	6	-7	19
10	Haugesund II	15	5	3	7	-5	18
11	Våg	16	5	1	10	-8	16
12	Hinna	15	4	4	7	-18	16
13	Åkra	16	4	2	10	-24	14
14	Odd II	15	3	4	8	-14	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.