Vreden vs Sprockhovel Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Vreden and 1.75 for Sprockhovel, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Vreden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Vreden or Draw

62.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Vreden win41%

Draw22%

Sprockhovel win38%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

1–18.9%
2–18.2%
1–27.8%
2–27.1%
1–05.1%

Why the model likes this

Vreden home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sprockhovel away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vreden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 22% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for Vreden and 1.75 for Sprockhovel, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Vreden

2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hiltrup · 2-0 (W)
2026-05-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Erkenschwick · 3-0 (W)
2026-05-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ASC Dortmund · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schermbeck · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Westfalia Rhynern · 0-4 (L)

Sprockhovel

2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia II · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-15T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Germania Ratingen · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SSVg Velbert · 2-6 (L)
2026-05-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Verl II · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hiltrup · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.