England · Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 314:00

11

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 04:27 UTC

Warrington Town vs Cleethorpes Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for Warrington Town and 1.35 for Cleethorpes Town, a combined total of 2.59. That distribution gives Cleethorpes Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Cleethorpes Town or Draw

65.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Warrington Town win34%
Draw26%
Cleethorpes Town win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–17.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Warrington Town home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Cleethorpes Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 34% / 26% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.24 goals for Warrington Town and 1.35 for Cleethorpes Town, a combined 2.59 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Warrington Town

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cleethorpes Town · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Hyde United · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Guiseley AFC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Buxton · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Marine · 1-2 (L)

Cleethorpes Town

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Non League Premier - Northern table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Cleethorpes Town321077
    2Warrington Town321047
    3Bury321027
    4Gainsborough Trinity320146
    5Avro320136
    6Alfreton Town320136
    7Ashton United320136
    8Whitby Town320116
    9Ilkeston Town320106
    10Redcar Athletic312015
    11Guiseley AFC311114
    12AFC Emley311104
    13Hyde United3111-24
    14Rylands310213
    15Curzon Ashton3102-13
    16Lancaster City3102-33
    17Bamber Bridge3102-63
    18Leek Town3021-12
    19Stockton Town3012-21
    20Workington3012-31
    21Quorn3012-61
    22United of Manchester3012-61

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.