Widzew Łódź vs Puszcza Niepołomice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Widzew Łódź and 1.18 for Puszcza Niepołomice, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Widzew Łódź the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Widzew Łódź or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Widzew Łódź win44%

Draw26%

Puszcza Niepołomice win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Puszcza Niepołomice away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 9 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Widzew Łódź to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Widzew Łódź and 1.18 for Puszcza Niepołomice, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Widzew Łódź

Puszcza Niepołomice

2026-08-08T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Odra Opole · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Warszawa · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Jarosław · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Widzew Łódź · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-19T15:00:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-05-19T17:00:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice (Ekstraklasa)
2024-11-25T18:00:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 0-2 Puszcza Niepołomice (Ekstraklasa)
2023-12-11T18:00:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 0-1 Puszcza Niepołomice (Ekstraklasa)
2023-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 3-2 Puszcza Niepołomice (Ekstraklasa)
2022-07-01T16:30:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 1-0 Puszcza Niepołomice (Friendlies Clubs)
2022-04-16T18:30:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 1-0 Puszcza Niepołomice (I Liga)
2021-10-02T10:40:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 1-0 Puszcza Niepołomice (I Liga)
2021-04-09T15:40:00.000Z · Widzew Łódź 0-0 Puszcza Niepołomice (I Liga)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.