Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana · Referee Lukasz Kuzma, Poland · Analysis updated 02:40 UTC
Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.69 for GKS Katowice, a combined total of 3.71. That distribution gives Wisla Krakow the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Wisla Krakow to Win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.69
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–27.1%
- 3–15.7%
Why the model likes this
Wisla Krakow home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wisla Krakow to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 21% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.69 for GKS Katowice, a combined 3.71 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Wisla Krakow
- 2026-08-07T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Wisla Plock · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Piast Gliwice · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-07-26T18:15:00.000Z · H vs GKS Katowice · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Artis · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Podbeskidzie · 0-1 (L)
GKS Katowice
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Widzew Łódź | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Slask Wroclaw | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Kraków | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Cracovia Krakow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.