Worcester City vs St Ives Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Worcester City and 1.15 for St Ives Town, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives Worcester City the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Worcester City to Win

45.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Worcester City win46%

Draw25%

St Ives Town win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.1%
1–010.5%
2–19.2%
2–08.0%
0–17.9%

Why the model likes this

Worcester City home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Worcester City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 25% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Worcester City and 1.15 for St Ives Town, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Worcester City

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leighton Town · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Alvechurch · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stratford Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Merthyr Town · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Evesham United · 0-1 (L)

St Ives Town

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.