Paraguay · Division Intermedia · Regular Season - 922:00

22

Saturday, 23 May 2026

TacuaryWLDDD

· Analysis updated 00:48 UTC

12 de Junio VH vs Tacuary Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for 12 de Junio VH and 0.83 for Tacuary, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives 12 de Junio VH the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

12 de Junio VH to Win

61.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

12 de Junio VH win61%
Draw22%
Tacuary win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–012.8%
  • 2–011.7%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–07.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Tacuary away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates 12 de Junio VH to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 22% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.83 goals for 12 de Junio VH and 0.83 for Tacuary, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

12 de Junio VH

    Tacuary

    • 2026-08-10T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Guairena FC · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Resistencia · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SOL DE America · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Capiata · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-13T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Independiente F.b.c. · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division Intermedia table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    112 de Junio VH1912431240
    2General Caballero1811341436
    3Benjamín Aceval1910541135
    4Deportivo Santani1810351133
    5SOL DE America196112829
    6Independiente F.b.c.19685226
    7Resistencia18675-125
    8Sportivo Carapeguá18747-725
    9Atlético Tembetary18657023
    10Deportivo Capiata18585-123
    11Guairena FC19658-423
    12Fernando De La Mora19658-723
    13Paraguari AC19559-520
    14Tacuary18396-518
    15Encarnación193313-1212
    163 de Noviembre180711-167

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.