· Analysis updated 02:48 UTC
AA Iguaçu vs Hope Internacional Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for AA Iguaçu and 0.52 for Hope Internacional, a combined total of 1.63. That distribution gives AA Iguaçu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 22% for over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.
Model pick
AA Iguaçu to Win
50.4% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 0.52
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
67%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–021.8%
- 0–019.6%
- 2–012.2%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–110.1%
Why the model likes this
Hope Internacional away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates AA Iguaçu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 33% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for AA Iguaçu and 0.52 for Hope Internacional, a combined 1.63 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% and both teams to score at 27%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.
Recent form
AA Iguaçu
Hope Internacional
- 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Samas · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs AA Iguaçu · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-10-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Araucária · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paranaense - 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | City London | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | AA Iguaçu | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | União PR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Hope Internacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Iraty | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Oeste Brasil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | PSTC Procopense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Cambé | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Portuguesa Londrinense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Campo Mourão | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Samas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.