Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · Group B15:30
AboLWLWW

20

Thursday, 4 June 2026

P-IirotLWWWD

Urheilupuiston Ylakentta · Analysis updated 02:40 UTC

Abo vs P-Iirot Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Abo and 1.04 for P-Iirot, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Abo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

ÅIFK to Win

56.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Abo win56%
Draw23%
P-Iirot win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 3–16.1%

Why the model likes this

  • P-Iirot away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Abo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 23% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.85 goals for Abo and 1.04 for P-Iirot, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Abo

    P-Iirot

    • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilves II · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Kakkonen - Lohko B table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Honka1712413740
    2ÅIFK1711331936
    3HJS Akatemia17944831
    4Ilves II178632230
    5EPS179261129
    6P-Iirot17836627
    7GrIFK17638-921
    8EBK174310-1415
    9Musa172312-379
    10NJS170116-431

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.