· Analysis updated 02:23 UTC
Åkra vs Vindbjart Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Åkra and 2.15 for Vindbjart, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Vindbjart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Vindbjart to Win
45.0% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 2.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–35.5%
Why the model likes this
Vindbjart away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vindbjart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 35% / 21% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Åkra and 2.15 for Vindbjart, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 75%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Åkra
Vindbjart
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åkra · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hinna · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Vindbjart | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Mandalskameratene | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Viking II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24 |
| 6 | Varhaug | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 | Brodd | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Stabæk II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Staal Jørpeland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 19 |
| 10 | Haugesund II | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 18 |
| 11 | Våg | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Hinna | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -18 | 16 |
| 13 | Åkra | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -24 | 14 |
| 14 | Odd II | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.