· Analysis updated 22:59 UTC
Araz vs Sabah FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.39 expected goals for Araz and 0.58 for Sabah FA, a combined total of 0.96. That distribution gives Sabah FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 33%, with the draw at 47%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 7% for over 2.5 goals and 14% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 38%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 33% favourite still loses or draws roughly 67% of the time.
Model pick
Draw
47.2% probability
Expected goals
0.39 – 0.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
53%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–038.1%
- 0–121.9%
- 1–014.8%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–26.3%
Why the model likes this
Sabah FA away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 20% / 47% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.39 goals for Araz and 0.58 for Sabah FA, a combined 0.96 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 7% and both teams to score at 14%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 38%.
Recent form
Araz
Sabah FA
- 2026-08-15T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Kapaz · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KuPS · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs KuPS · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premyer Liqa table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.