Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Argentino Quilmes and 1.07 for Real Pilar, a combined total of 1.98. That distribution gives Real Pilar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Real Pilar or Draw

70.0% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.90 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Argentino Quilmes win30%

Draw31%

Real Pilar win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%

Over 2.5 goals32%

Over 3.5 goals14%

Both teams to score39%

Correct score

0–114.9%
0–013.9%
1–113.4%
1–012.5%
0–28.0%

Why the model likes this

Real Pilar away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Real Pilar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 30% / 31% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Argentino Quilmes and 1.07 for Real Pilar, a combined 1.98 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Argentino Quilmes

Real Pilar

2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flandria · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Argentino Quilmes · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Defensores Unidos · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Comunicaciones · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dock Sud · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.