Arsenal vs Real Betis Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for Arsenal and 1.27 for Real Betis, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Arsenal the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

Arsenal to Win

56.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Arsenal win57%

Draw21%

Real Betis win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

2–19.6%
1–19.0%
2–07.5%
1–07.1%
3–16.8%

Why the model likes this

Arsenal home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Real Betis away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arsenal to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 21% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.13 goals for Arsenal and 1.27 for Real Betis, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Arsenal

2026-08-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Como · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Dortmund · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-05T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Real Betis · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Girona · 4-1 (W)
2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Paris Saint Germain · 1-1 (D)

Real Betis

2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Bournemouth · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-05T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Almeria · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyon · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.