· Analysis updated 02:54 UTC
Atlet vs Metalurh Zaporizhya Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Atlet and 1.36 for Metalurh Zaporizhya, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Atlet the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
Atlet or Draw
65.8% probability
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.36
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.7%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Atlet to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 25% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Atlet and 1.36 for Metalurh Zaporizhya, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Atlet or Draw is the headline pick at 66% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Atlet
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Druha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nyva Ternopil II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Ruh Lviv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
| 8 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Vilkhivtsi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 1 | Oleksandria II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | SC Poltava 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Penuel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Karbon Cherkasy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Trostianets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Rebel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lozova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Atlet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.