Austin vs Charlotte Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.97 expected goals for Austin and 0.95 for Charlotte, a combined total of 1.92. That distribution gives Austin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws roughly 65% of the time.

Model pick

Austin or Draw

66.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.97 – 0.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Austin win35%

Draw32%

Charlotte win34%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%

Over 2.5 goals30%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score38%

Correct score

0–014.6%
1–014.2%
0–113.9%
1–113.5%
2–06.9%

Why the model likes this

Austin home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 35% / 32% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.97 goals for Austin and 0.95 for Charlotte, a combined 1.92 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 38%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Austin

2026-08-14T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Club America · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-10T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Puebla · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-07T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Tijuana · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-02T01:30:00.000Z · A vs Colorado Rapids · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-26T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Houston Dynamo · 0-3 (L)

Charlotte

2026-08-11T23:30:00.000Z · H vs CF Pachuca · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-07T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Atlas · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z · H vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-02T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Chicago Fire · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-25T22:30:00.000Z · A vs New York Red Bulls · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.